AC Report and Cash Game Hand

We were only going to be down in AC for a day, and not a full one at that, so we really had to maximize our time for playing. We all played the $65 Showboat tourney, which is a bigger minefield than any online tourney. That day it wasn't much different. The structure is really accelerated to the point where you're only playing 2 levels before you start to get under 15bb's. You get T10,000 chips to start with, but the blinds start at 50/100. Unfortunately, we started 11 handed, which is absolutely ridiculous. I played 0, count em, 0 hands the first level. I was just pretty much card dead, and I wasn't in the mood to try and outplay these people, cuz they are just not going to fold. The 3rd hand into the 2nd level, I pick up KK utg and raise it up to 600. I get 4 callers and we see a flop of.

Jd Tc 3h

This is as good as I can get a flop for having 4 callers. I fire in a little over 2/3 the pot which was 17 or 1800 i forget and get 1 caller.

As

Comes on the turn. I thought if he was cold calling with a Jack here, he might let go of his hand to a 2 barrel. If not, I have 4 outs to a straight, and 2 more to a King if he isn't on a straight draw. I bet 2000, and he calls again.

9h

Is the river card. In my estimation this was a brick, because if he had KQ I would have saw a raise on the turn w/out a doubt. I check over to him, not wanting to get raised. He throws a single 1k chip in the middle. With so much money in the pot I looked him up and he flips over..

AQhh

Love it. The very next hand UTG raises to 800 pre flop and gets 4 callers. I look down at KK once again. For some reason instead of just shoving the rest of my 5k or so chips in the middle, I make it 4k lol. UTG calls, and one of the limpers calls. With over 15k in the pot the flop comes down. I was all in before or after the flop I forget how it went, but I wasn't folding at any time obv.Qd Jd 3dUTG checks, and the other guy puts him all in. He says he had Kings, and folded. I flip over my Kings and the table is agasp that we had the same hand, except I have the diamond. The limper flips JJ for a set of jacks, weeeeeeeee. I didn't get there and I was out after playing 2 hands.

We went down to Taj to play a little cash. Barry and I coincidentally got seated right next to each other. Our jaws would hit the table after every hand to see how bad these people were playing. Nothing really new from your typical B&M 1-2 game. It was just an extra loose one. You really couldn't play a hand unless you got someone heads up or limp called and caught a monster. The only real hand that I made money on was this one..

There were 4 limpers ahead..lol. I look down at QQ and raise to $20. I get 2 callers and the flop comes 9s 5c 5s. It's checked to me and I make it $20 again. One guy folds, and the other calls. The turn comes Jd. He leads into me for $15 and I just shove for my remaining $106 hahahah. He calls and flips over...J7 of spades weeeeee. He bricks on the river and I double up. We left shortly after that.

Yesterday I was watching the FT of the WCOOP Event #4. It had been running since 4:30 the day BEFORE. Talk about tons of play. Anyway, I had cash going on the side when this interesting hand came up. As a background, I had a lot of hands on my opponent and how he plays. Combined with the table dynamics, of the rest of them playing extremely tight. We had been staying away from each other for the most part. He was opening a lot of pots and this time I thought I'd take advantage of him. I had a playable hand with AT. No I don't 3 bet with it often, but this time I did.

Me ($37.65)
Villain ($51.45)

Dealt (As Th)
Villain raises $.50 to $.75
I raise $2 to $2.75 from the button.

[Jc 8s 4s]

The flop comes with just a flush draw, other than that and we're ok here for a C bet. Sometimes I check behind flops like this in fear of getting c/r out of the pot. It's a good thing I did here.

Villain checks
I check

[Jc 8s 4s][Tc]

Alright so we hit a ten here. We get led into for $4.25. Well what kind of hand are we up against here. Was he opting to check/raise us on the flop with something like AQss or another hand like that, does he have a set of Jacks thinking I will just shove with an over pair here? I''m not really sure at this point, but I decide to call.

Villain bets $4.25
I call $4.25

[Jc 8s 4s][Tc][Ad]

Now the Ace comes on the river(weeeeee) giving us two pair. But is it good? I can get him to lay down QQ KK here on a big river bet now. If he has AKss im beat, but if it's off suit I'm still good. I'm worried about a set of jacks and AKss. Those are what I was putting him on. Does the river warrant a bet? I'm not sure, and this is the point of the hand I think I messed up on because most of the time I'm actually beat here.

Villain checks
I bet $6
Villain raises $38.45 to $44.45 and is all-in

Wow, now at this point I think I threw up in my mouth a little bit. I have to be beat here right? The problem was I had a little over half my stack in the middle. I was getting pretty good odds to call here and pick off his missed draw. And that's exactly what we do.

I call $16.65

*Showdown*
Villain shows Ts 7s (a pair of tens)
I show...the winning hand obv.

I pick up the pot and before ya know it, the verbal spew age begins from him.."OH how can you 3 bet with AT, wow why did you do that"? All I say in response is, you CALLED my 3 bet with T7 which is not only a GARBAGE hand to play oop, but one that you were dominated with, so GFY AND SMD. And that was that.

What a Disaster

Well we didn't do so hot in College this week. I thought the games were going to be much closer, so I took the points in most cases. In the NFL we did ok.

College: 2-8
College Overall: 14-16
College Lock: 1-2

NFL: 5-4-1
NFL Overall: 10-9-1
NFL Lock: 1-1

Picks for the Week

I was going to make a little post on AC and interesting hands. The home game ran late tonight so I'm just going to post the selections for now.

College

1) Pitt @ Michigan St -9.5

Pick: Michigan St

2) Virginia @ North Carolina -3.5

Pick: North Carolina

3) Miss State @ Auburn -13.5

Pick: Miss St

4) Iowa @ Iowa St +15.5

Pick: Iowa

5) Ohio St @ Washington +3.5

Pick: Washington

6) Notre Dame @ Michigan -9.5

Pick: Notre Dame

7) Tennessee @ Florida -8.5

Pick: Tennessee

8) Boston College @ Georgia Tech -6.5

Pick: BC

9) USC @ Nebraska +9.5

Pick: Nebraska

10) Arkansas @ Alabama -3.5

Pick: Arkansas

Lock of the Week

Texas Tech @ Rice +28

Pick: Texas Tech


NFL

1) Houston @ Carolina -6.5

Pick: Texans

2) Colts @ Titans +7.5

Pick: Titans

3) Packers @ Giants PK

Pick: Packers

4) Saints @ Bucs +3.5

Pick: Saints

5) Bengals @ Browns +6.5

Pick: Bengals

6) Bills @ Steelers +9.5

Pick: Bills

7) 49ers @ Rams -3

Pick: 49ers

8) Jets @ Ravens -10

Pick: Ravens

9) Vikings @ Lions -3

Pick: Lions

10) Chargers @ New England -3

Pick: Patriots

Lock of the Week

Dallas @ Miami +3.5

Pick: Dallas

Ugh

Injuries again. Same story as last year that crippled my G-Men early in the season. Eli looked fantastic...until he got injured. It's lookin to be a long year. As far as picks go, I'm happy to break even for the week. And if you want a sure winner, just pick the opposite team I pick for lock of the week. I'll be headin down to AC in an hour or two, so there will be a trip report up when I come back or tomorrow.

College Picks: 5-5
College Overall: 12-8
College Locks: 0-2

NFL Picks: 5-5
NFL Overall: 5-5
NFL Locks: 0-1

Picks for the Week

This is going to be one tough week. There are so many games that I could go either way on. I'm going to say I'm not too confident in this weeks games. I usually stay away from betting NFL games the first 2 weeks, just because you really don't know how teams are going to play. College is a little bit different since the big name schools schedule cupcakes the first couple of weeks. I'm gonna go out on a limb here and say this will be one of hte toughest weeks of the year.

College

1) Nebraska @ Wake Forest +7.5

Easy pick here with Nebraska. Wake's starting quarterback got hurt in the game against Boston College last week. The black shirts are going to eat up sophomore Brett Hodges

Pick: Nebraska

2) Miami @ Oklahoma -10.5

This is one of those games I was talking about earlier. I like Oklahoma here to win, but I think it's going to be a closer game than most people think. Miami's passing attack is horrific. Freeman passed for a meager 87 yards last week against Marshall. I'm going to rely on Miami's defense and running game to keep this matchup close. Sam Bradford is unproven to date, so Randy Shannon is going to need to send the house all day.

Pick: Miami

3) Alabama @ Vanderbilt +4.5

I like Bama here. If the spread was higher than 7, I think I would have went vandy. True freshman Terry Grant needs to have another great game to Roooooolllllllllll up the score for me.

Pick: Alabama

4) Rice @ Baylor -6.5

No comment.

Pick: Rice

5) NC State @ Boston College -16.5

Look for Matt Ryan to have another monster day. Ex BC coach Tom O'Brien goes back to BC for the first time since leaving the team. Think it will help? I don't.

Pick: Boston College

6) Oregon @ Michigan -6.5

Ugh. How can I pick against my Ducks here? With Dixon running the spread formation, it could drive the wolverines into fits. One of the big questions is how the fans will react coming back to the scene of the crime last week. I think they have too much to avenge and will take care of the Ducks...and their uniforms.

Pick: Michigan

7) S. Carolina @ Georgia -6.5

Quarterback Blake Mitchell comes back from suspension to start for the Ol' ball coach. It still won't be enough to overcome the bulldogs.

Pick: Georgia

8) Notre Dame @ Penn St -14.5

Points, points and more points. I don't think it could get much worse than last week for the Irish. I think Weiss, compounded his losses by switchings qb's every quarter last week. It's not going to get much easier for Clausen when he travels to Happy Valley and runs into a white out.

Pick: Penn St

9) BYU @ UCLA -7.5

Gooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo Bruins

Pick: UCLA

10) Virginia Tech @ LSU -8.5

I just cant get over last week when VT only put up 17 on ECU. You would think everything that was going on they would just come out and pound it down the pirates' throats. Just like LSU did in their game against Miss St when they owned 45-0.

Pick: LSU

*Pick of the Week*

Hawaii @ Louisiana Tech +28

Colt Brennan threw up 5 td's and over 400 yards last week....in the first half

Pick: Hawaii


NFL

1) Steelers @ Browns +3.5

Charlie Frye = ......? (enter your own adjective)

Pick: Steelers

2) Titans @ Jaguars -5.5

All Vince does is win. Unfortunately he's going to have to do even more than last year now that he has NO wide receivers. Fred Taylor and Maurice Jones-Drew will take tons of pressure off David Garrard and the Jags will get the win.

Pick: Jaguars

3) Eagles @ Packers +2.5

The line should be hire in this game. I don't see how the eagles arent a bigger favorite. As much as I would love to see the Eagles lose their opener, it just isnt going to happen.

Pick: Eagles

4) Dolphins @ Redskins -3.5

This game is a tossup. Jason Campbell can be a breakout player this year, if he gets some protection and their WR's stay healthy. On the other hand the Dolphins offense has tons of question marks also. I'm gonna play it safe here and just take the points

Pick: Dolphins

5) Patriots @ Jets +5.5

This is a tough one. Patriots will get the win, but it's a divisional game and the Jets always play them tough. If I could flip flop on a game it would be this one.

Pick: Patriots

6) Falcons @ Vikings +3.5

Joey Harrington vs Tavaris Jackson

Pick: Falcons

7) Chargers @ Bears +6.5

I don't think Rex is going to be able to keep up with the scoring of San Diego

Pick: San Diego

8) Chiefs @ Texans -3

This is one of 2 BLAH games of the week. I'm going to go with the home team since Matt Schaub is a stud

Pick: Texans

9) Lions @ Raiders -2.5

The 2nd of hte BLAH games this week. I'm going to go with the defensive force of the RRRRRRRRRaiders.

Pick: Raiders

10) New York Giants @ Dallas Cowboys -6.5

Cmon, do you really think I'm gonna go against my team here? In my upset special this week, the GGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGG-Men over the boys, outright. You heard it here first.

Pick: Giants

*Pick of the Week*

Denver @ Buffalo +3

Pick: Denver

2007 NFL Preview

The 2007 season is finally upon us. Is this the year the NFC reclaims the Lombardi Trophy? Fat chance says many if not all the experts. The AFC is as deep as it ever was. The NFL is still in its AFC swing as it was during the late 80's early 90's when the NFC was dominant. But I mean really the Bills were the bulk of those losses. Can the Chargers get over that hump and finally win a playoff game for the first time since what 1995? How will the Vick-less Falcons do? Will they have more players on the field than butts in the seat? Only time will tell. We'll start over in the AFC.

AFC East

1 - New England Patriots (12-4)
2 - New York Jets (9-7)
3 - Buffalo Bills (8-8)
4 - Miami Dolphins (6-10)

AFC North

1 - Baltimore Ravens (11-5)
2 - Cincinnati Bengals (10-6)
3 - Pittsburgh Steelers (8-8)
4 - Cleveland Browns (3-13)

AFC South

1 - Indianapolis Colts (11-5)
2 - Jackonville Jaguars (9-7)
3 - Houston Texans (6-10)
4 - Tennessee Titans (5-11)

AFC West

1 - San Diego Chargers (13-3)
2 - Denver Broncos (10-6)
3 - Oakland Raiders (5-11)
4 - Kansas City Chiefs (4-12)

NFC East

1 - Dallas Cowboys (10-6)
2 - Philadelphia Eagles (9-7)
3 - Washington Redskins (8-8)
4 - New York Giants (6-10)

NFC North

1 - Chicago Bears (11-5)
2 - Detroit Lions (6-10)
3 - Green Bay Packers (6-10)
4 - Minnesota Vikings (3-13)

NFC South

1 - New Orleans Saints (12-4)
2 - Carolina Panthers (8-8)
3 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-11)
4 - Atlanta Falcons (2-14)

NFC West

1 - St. Louis Rams (10-6)
2 - San Francisco 49ers (9-7)
3 - Seattle Seahawks (9-7)
4 - Arizona Cardinals (5-11)

Playoffs

AFC Playoffs

Wild Card Weekend

Cincinnati at Baltimore
Denver at Indianapolis

Divisional Weekend

Cincinnati at San Diego
Indianapolis at New England

AFC Championship

Indianapolis at San Diego

AFC Champion - San Diego Chargers

NFC Playoffs

Wild Card Weekend

Philadelphia at Dallas
San Francisco at St. Louis

Divisional Weekend

Dallas at Chicago
St. Louis at New Orleans

NFC Championship

Dallas at New Orleans

NFC Champion - New Orleans Saints

Super Bowl

San Diego Chargers at New Orleans Saints

Super Bowl Champions

San Diego Chargers

Coach of the Year - Norv Turner

Offensive Player of the Year - LaDainian Tomlinson
Defensive Player of the Year - Brian Urlacher
Offensive Rookie of the Year - Adrian Peterson
Defensive Rookie of the Year - Jon Beason

So there you have it. That is how I see it for this year. I could have been boring and pick the Patriots like everyone else, but that wouldnt be fun. My surprise team is going to be the 49ers, who are going to make the playoffs due to a sweep of the Seahawks. I really think whoever comes out of the AFC with the least amount of injuries is going to represent the AFC in the Super Bowl. I mean how fun would a LDT(yea thats right hes not THE LT aka Lawrence Taylor) vs Reggie matchup be? It's going to be fun to look back at this come February and laugh at myself on how wrong I was on some of these teams.

Say it Ain't So..

I mean can you get any greater of a start to the College Football season then we got? I'm sure everyone knows by now, and if you don't then where were you hiding all weekend? Appalachian St pulls off the shocker of them all by defeating Michigan 34-32 at the Big House. Good Game Lloyd Carr. So we didn't get off to a bad start despite our Pick of the Week. USC decided to play like little girls and play at a lesser speed then they even practice! I should have just used my picks from the pool I'm in. Overall I went 12-3 there and 7-3 here. Virginia Tech had a lackluster opening. I think they thought ECU was just going to roll over for them with all they had going on. ECU had a lot of momentum and if it wasn't for a pick thrown by the QB that was returned for a TD, the Hokies might also be singing sorry sorry night next to the Wolverines. If it wasn't for the spread I would only have lost 1 game, bah.

Georgia Tech 33 vs ND 3 - Win
Washington State 21 vs Wisonsin 42 - Win
Wake Forest 28 vs Boston College 38 - Win
East Carolina 7 vs Virginia Tech 17 - Loss
Oklahoma St 14 vs Georgia 35 - Win
Missouri 40 vs Illinois 34 - Win
Kansas St 13 vs Auburn 23 - Loss
Houston 21 vs Oregon 45 - Win
Florida St 18 vs Clemson 24 - Loss
Tennessee 31 vs Cal 45 - Win

Overall: 7-3

Pick of the Week

Idaho 10 vs USC 38 - Loss

Overall: 0-1

Tomorrow I should have my NFL season preview and picks for the week up. College picks should be up Thursday or Friday..and oh yeah up a little under 1k for the week in poker.